FIRE DANGER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
712 AM CDT THU SEP 29 2011


THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TULSA HAS ISSUED A FIRE WEATHER ALERT
WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 700 PM CDT FOR THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES...

IN OKLAHOMA...
OSAGE...WASHINGTON...NOWATA...CRAIG...OTTAWA...PAWNEE...TULSA...
ROGERS...MAYES...DELAWARE...CREEK...OKFUSKEE...OKMULGEE...WAGONER...
MUSKOGEE...MCINTOSH AND PITTSBURG.



GUSTY NORTHERLY WINDS WILL DEVELOP THIS AFTERNOON BEHIND A PASSING
COLD FRONT.  THESE WINDS ALONG WITH LOW HUMIDITIES WILL CREATE
CONDITIONS FAVORABLE FOR RAPID FIRE SPREAD.  WINDS WILL GRADUALLY
SUBSIDE AFTER SUNSET.

A FIRE WEATHER ALERT IS ISSUED WHEN DANGEROUS FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EXPECTED BUT ARE BELOW RED FLAG CRITERIA. A FIRE WEATHER ALERT MAY ALSO
BE ISSUED TO RELAY STATE OR COUNTY FIRE INFORMATION...SUCH AS BURNING BANS.

The Storm Prediction Center has issued a Tornado Watch for areas W and NW of Tulsa until 11:00PM.

Counties in NE Oklahoma effected: Pawnee, Payne, and Osage.

 TORNADOES...HAIL TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.




URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
   TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 850
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   230 PM CDT SAT SEP 17 2011
  
   THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
   TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
  
          SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH CENTRAL KANSAS
          NORTHWEST AND NORTH CENTRAL OKLAHOMA
  
   EFFECTIVE THIS SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 230 PM UNTIL
   1100 PM CDT.
  
   TORNADOES...HAIL TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
   GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
   AREAS.
  
   THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 90 STATUTE
   MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 40 MILES SOUTH SOUTHEAST OF
   ENID OKLAHOMA TO 45 MILES NORTHEAST OF DODGE CITY KANSAS.  FOR A
   COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE
   UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU0).
  
   REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
   TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
   AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
   THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
   AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
  
   DISCUSSION...TSTMS EXPECTED TO FORM IN THE NEXT HOUR OR SO NEAR
   INTERSECTION OF DRY LINE/CONFLUENCE ZONE ARCING EWD ACROSS FAR ERN
   PARTS OF THE OK/TX PANHANDLE...AND WNW-ESE ORIENTED OUTFLOW
   BNDRY/WARM FRONT OVER NRN OK.  IN THIS AREA...COMBINATION OF SFC
   HEATING...CONTINUED LOW LVL MOISTURE INFLOW /AVERAGE DEWPOINTS IN
   THE UPR 60S F/...AND WEAK LARGE SCALE FORCING FOR ASCENT ASSOCIATED
   WITH UPR IMPULSE NOW OVER SW KS EXPECTED TO FURTHER DESTABILIZE
   REGION.  AREA VWP DATA AND FCST WIND FIELDS SUGGEST POTENTIAL FOR A
   FEW SUPERCELLS...ENHANCING THE RISK FOR LARGE HAIL/HIGH WIND.
   TORNADOES ALSO WILL BE POSSIBLE...MAINLY WITH ANY STORMS THAT MOVE
   MORE OR LESS PARALLEL TO/IN TANDEM WITH OUTFLOW BNDRY/WARM FRONT.
  
   AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
   SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
   WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
   550. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 27020.
  
  
   ...CORFIDI