I don't usually publish for non-severe events but it's been so dreary I thought some good news was in order!

Looks like a great weekend on tap!

Flash flood warnings on-going across parts of the area too.

Another 1-2 inches of rain is possible today and tomorrow before the rain finally ends.

Current Watches and Warnings:

1-2 inches of rain may fall in the Tulsa area today with 3-5 additional inches falling in far eastern Oklahoma. Flash flooding has been occuring and will continue to occur this morning in the Tulsa area and will continue throughout the day across far eastern Oklahoma.

River flooding east and south of Tulsa will likely become severe over the next few days as well as lakes filling up to above normal levels by the weekend.

Here are the current watches and warnings from the Tulsa NWS:



Here is the forecast rainfall map for today:

A tornado watch has been issued for areas of eastern and southeastern OK.




Here are the current rainfall totats since midnight.

The severe weather threat remains across all of eastern Oklahoma today with large hail, damaging winds, and isolated tornadoes possible, especially across SE Oklahoma. Very heavy rain is still expected today through Wednesday as well.

Here is the NWS risk map for today:



Here is the Tulsa NWS expected rainfall totals for this system with higher amounts expected depending on where the heaviest bands set up.

There is a threat of severe weather from Monday late morning through late Monday. Large hail, damaging winds, and isolated tornadoes are possible along with heavy rain. After the severe weather threat has ended, mutiple rounds of very heavy rain are expected with amounts of 5-8 inches being common with locally heavier amounts across eastern Oklahoma.

Flash flooding is expected as well as severe river flooding across all of eastern Oklahoma so please be prepared for this if you are spending spring break along rivers or streams. Flash flooding will likely will occur so if you see water over a roadway, please stop and find another route to get where you are going.

Updates to follow late Monday morning.

A SIGNIFICANT AND LIFE-THREATENING HEAVY RAINFALL EVENT WILL
UNFOLD OVER EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS FROM MONDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING

* WIDESPREAD RAINFALL AMOUNTS FROM 4 TO 8 INCHES ARE EXPECTED
  ACROSS A GOOD PORTION OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST
  ARKANSAS. SOME ISOLATED AREAS COULD RECEIVE RAINFALL AMOUNTS
  BETWEEN A FOOT AND 15 INCHES. WIDESPREAD AND POTENTIALLY
  CATASTROPHIC AREAL FLOODING AND RIVER FLOODING IS EXPECTED.
  HOWEVER...THE POTENTIAL FOR LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODING IS
  ALSO HIGH...THUS THE FLOOD WATCH WILL BE CHANGED TO A FLASH
  FLOOD WATCH.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS
RAPIDLY RISING WATER OR FLOODING IS POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH
AREA.





.A SLOW MOVING UPPER STORM SYSTEM WILL COMBINE WITH WELL ABOVE
AVERAGE DEEP LAYER MOISTURE FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR AND A FOCUSING
FRONTAL BOUNDARY TO PRODUCE EXCESSIVE RAINFALL. THIS BAND OF HEAVY
RAINFALL WILL BEGIN OVER EASTERN OK MONDAY NIGHT AND GRADUALLY
SHIFT EAST INTO WESTERN ARKANSAS THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT AND
POSSIBLY INTO WEDNESDAY BEFORE ENDING WEDNESDAY NIGHT.

There is a slight chance of severe weather across the entire area on Monday with heavy rainfall likely, especially SE of Tulsa. Large hail and damaging winds are the primary severe weather threat mainly Monday late afternoon. The risk will increase if the sun is able to break out and heat things up on early.

River flooding is expected, possibly major, starting Monday night. The Illinois river and lower Arkansas river are especially at risk. 1.5-2.5 inches are expected in Tulsa with 3-6 expected east of highway 69 with local amounts to 10 inches possible.

Rain could be in eastern Oklahoma as early as tonight but the bulk of the rain will not arrive until  Monday and last through Tuesday.

Here is the latest Tulsa NWS graphic depicting the risk areas.

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TULSA HAS ISSUED A FIRE WEATHER ALERT
WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 700 PM CST FOR THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES...

IN ARKANSAS...
BENTON...CARROLL...WASHINGTON...MADISON...CRAWFORD...FRANKLIN AND
SEBASTIAN.

IN OKLAHOMA...
PUSHMATAHA...CHOCTAW...OSAGE...WASHINGTON...NOWATA...CRAIG...
OTTAWA...PAWNEE...TULSA...ROGERS...MAYES...DELAWARE...CREEK...OKFUSKEE...
OKMULGEE...WAGONER...CHEROKEE...ADAIR...MUSKOGEE...MCINTOSH...SEQUOYAH...
PITTSBURG...HASKELL...LATIMER AND LE FLORE.



SOUTHERLY WINDS GUSTING 35 TO 50 MPH WILL PERSIST THROUGH MUCH OF
TODAY BEFORE GRADUALLY DECREASING AFTER SUNSET. ADDITIONALLY...LOW
AFTERNOON HUMIDITY LEVELS AND WARM TEMPERATURES WILL ALSO BE
PRESENT. THESE INGREDIENTS WILL SUPPORT AGGRESSIVE FIRE BEHAVIOR
AND RAPID SPREAD POTENTIAL TO ANY WILDFIRE.






A FIRE WEATHER ALERT IS ISSUED WHEN DANGEROUS FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EXPECTED BUT ARE BELOW RED FLAG CRITERIA. A FIRE WEATHER ALERT
MAY ALSO BE ISSUED TO RELAY STATE OR COUNTY FIRE
INFORMATION...SUCH AS BURNING BANS.

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TULSA HAS ISSUED A FIRE WEATHER ALERT
WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 700 PM CST FOR THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES...

IN OKLAHOMA...
PUSHMATAHA...CHOCTAW...OSAGE...WASHINGTON...NOWATA...PAWNEE...
TULSA...ROGERS...CREEK...OKFUSKEE...OKMULGEE...WAGONER...MUSKOGEE...
MCINTOSH...PITTSBURG AND LATIMER.

SOUTHERLY WINDS GUSTING 35 TO 50 MPH WILL PERSIST THROUGH MUCH OF
TODAY BEFORE GRADUALLY DECREASING AFTER SUNSET.
ADDITIONALLY...LOW AFTERNOON HUMIDITY LEVELS AND WARM TEMPERATURES
WILL ALSO BE PRESENT.  THESE INGREDIENTS WILL SUPPORT AGGRESSIVE
FIRE BEHAVIOR AND RAPID SPREAD POTENTIAL TO ANY WILDFIRE.

A FIRE WEATHER ALERT IS ISSUED WHEN DANGEROUS FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EXPECTED BUT ARE BELOW RED FLAG CRITERIA. A FIRE WEATHER ALERT MAY ALSO
BE ISSUED TO RELAY STATE OR COUNTY FIRE INFORMATION...SUCH AS BURNING BANS.

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TULSA HAS ISSUED A FIRE WEATHER ALERT
WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT CST FOR THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES...

IN OKLAHOMA...
OSAGE...WASHINGTON...NOWATA...CRAIG...OTTAWA...PAWNEE...TULSA...
ROGERS...MAYES...DELAWARE...CREEK...OKFUSKEE...OKMULGEE...WAGONER...
CHEROKEE...ADAIR...MUSKOGEE...MCINTOSH...SEQUOYAH...PITTSBURG...HASKELL...
LATIMER AND LE FLORE.

ONGOING WILDFIRE CONDITIONS WILL REMAIN CRITICAL THIS EVENING AS
SOUTH WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN IN THE 10 TO 20 MPH RANGE. CONDITIONS
SHOULD IMPROVE TOWARD MIDNIGHT AS TEMPERATURES GRADUALLY COOL AND
RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES RISE.

A FIRE WEATHER ALERT IS ISSUED WHEN DANGEROUS FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EXPECTED BUT ARE BELOW RED FLAG CRITERIA. A FIRE WEATHER ALERT MAY ALSO
BE ISSUED TO RELAY STATE OR COUNTY FIRE INFORMATION...SUCH AS BURNING BANS.



WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 7 PM CST TUESDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TULSA HAS ISSUED A WIND ADVISORY...
WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 7 PM CST TUESDAY...

FOR THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES...

* IN OKLAHOMA...CHEROKEE...ADAIR...CREEK...OKFUSKEE...OKMULGEE...
   WAGONER...TULSA...ROGERS...MAYES...DELAWARE...WASHINGTON...
   OSAGE...CRAIG...NOWATA...PAWNEE...OTTAWA...MCINTOSH AND
   MUSKOGEE.

   IN ARKANSAS...WASHINGTON...MADISON...BENTON AND CARROLL.

HAZARDOUS WEATHER...
* STRONG SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL CONTINUE ACROSS MUCH OF NORTHEAST
   OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS ON TUESDAY AND BECOME GUSTY
   DURING THE AFTERNOON.

IMPACTS...
* WIND GUSTS OF 40 TO 45 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE.

* WINDS THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR
   HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES.

DEFINITION...
* A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND GUSTS OF 40 MPH ARE EXPECTED.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
* MOTORISTS SHOULD EXERCISE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. BE ALERT TO
   SUDDEN GUSTS OF WIND WHICH MAY CAUSE YOU TO LOSE CONTROL OF YOUR
   VEHICLE. EXTRA ATTENTION SHOULD BE GIVEN TO CROSS WINDS AND ON
   BRIDGES AND OVERPASSES.

* STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO...COMMERCIAL RADIO OR TELEVISION
   FOR THE LATEST INFORMATION CONCERNING THIS WEATHER EVENT.
   ADDITIONAL WEATHER INFORMATION

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TULSA HAS ISSUED A RED FLAG
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 6 PM CST THIS
EVENING...

FOR THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES...
* IN OKLAHOMA...NOWATA...CREEK...OKFUSKEE...OKMULGEE...
   WAGONER...TULSA AND ROGERS. 



* THIS WARNING REPLACES THE RED FLAG WATCH THAT WAS IN EFFECT

HAZARDOUS WEATHER...
* STRONG SOUTH WINDS FROM 20 TO 30 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS WILL
   COMBINE WITH LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITIES NEAR 20 PERCENT TO PRODUCE
   CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ALONG A CORRIDOR FROM OKEMAH
   TO TULSA TO NOWATA.

* RELATIVE HUMIDITIES AS LOW AS 18.0 PERCENT

* STRONG WIND GUSTS AS HIGH AS 35 MPH

IMPACTS...
* ANY FIRES WILL QUICKLY SPREAD OUT OF CONTROL AND ENDANGER
   LIVES AND PROPERTY.

DEFINITION...
* A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT A DANGEROUS COMBINATION OF
   WEATHER CONDITIONS AND DRY VEGETATION IS EXPECTED WITHIN 24
   HOURS...FAVORING RAPID GROWTH AND SPREAD OF ANY WILDFIRES.
   THE PRIMARY WEATHER FACTORS INCLUDE STRONGER WINDS...LOWER
   HUMIDITIES...AND WARMER TEMPERATURES.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
* DISPOSE OF CIGARETTES PROPERLY AND AVOID ACTIVITIES THAT
   COULD START FIRES.

* ADDITIONAL WEATHER INFORMATION CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT:
   WEATHER.GOV/TULSA.