A tornado watch is in effect for all counties in yellow until 2:00AM.

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HAS ISSUED TORNADO WATCH 214 IN
EFFECT UNTIL 2 AM CDT TUESDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
       


IN OKLAHOMA THIS WATCH INCLUDES 13 COUNTIES

IN EAST CENTRAL OKLAHOMA

CHEROKEE             

IN NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA

ADAIR                 CRAIG                 DELAWARE            
MAYES                 NOWATA                OSAGE               
OTTAWA                PAWNEE                ROGERS              
TULSA                 WAGONER               WASHINGTON          

THIS INCLUDES THE CITIES OF...BARTLESVILLE...BENTONVILLE...
CLAREMORE...FAYETTEVILLE...JAY...MIAMI...NOWATA...PAWHUSKA...
PAWNEE...PRYOR...ROGERS...SPRINGDALE...STILWELL...TAHLEQUAH...
TULSA...VINITA AND WAGONER.

...ADDITIONAL HEAVY RAINFALL POSSIBLE OVERNIGHT ACROSS PARTS OF
NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA....


OKZ054>059-010300-

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM CDT THIS EVENING THROUGH
TUESDAY MORNING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TULSA HAS ISSUED A

* FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR A PORTION OF NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA...
  INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS...CRAIG...NOWATA...OSAGE...
  OTTAWA...PAWNEE AND WASHINGTON.

* FROM 7 PM CDT THIS EVENING THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING



* AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE IN THE WESTERLY FLOW ALOFT WILL ENTER
  THE SOUTHERN PLAINS OVERNIGHT. ADDITIONAL SHOWER AND
  THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT WILL LIKELY TAKE PLACE TO THE WEST AND
  MOVE EAST...IMPACTING PARTS OF NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA LATER TONIGHT.
  RADAR ESTIMATES OF 3 TO 7 INCHES OF RAIN HAS FALLEN OVER PARTS
  OF NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA...AND HAS RESULTED IN NUMEROUS FLOODING
  PROBLEMS LAST NIGHT AND THIS MORNING. WHILE THERE IS UNCERTAINTY
  CONCERNING THE DETAILS OF TONIGHTS RAINFALL SETUP...ANTECEDENT
  CONDITIONS COMBINED WITH ADDITIONAL RAINFALL POTENTIAL FROM
  TONIGHTS SYSTEM WILL RAPIDLY AGGRAVATE ALREADY FLOODED AREAS.
  THEREFORE...A FLASH FLOOD WATCH WILL IN EFFECT TONIGHT.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IF YOU ARE IN THE WATCH AREA...KEEP INFORMED...AND BE READY FOR
QUICK ACTION IF FLASH FLOODING IS OBSERVED OR IF A WARNING IS
ISSUED.

BE ESPECIALLY CAUTIOUS AT NIGHT WHEN IT IS HARDER TO RECOGNIZE
THE DANGERS OF FLASH FLOODS. IF FLASH FLOODING IS OBSERVED...ACT
QUICKLY. DO NOT STAY IN AREAS SUBJECT TO FLOODING WHEN WATER
BEGINS TO RISE. MOTORISTS SHOULD NOT DRIVE THROUGH WATER OF
UNKNOWN DEPTH. TAKE A DIFFERENT ROUTE TO REACH YOUR DESTINATION OR
WAIT UNTIL THE WATER RECEDES.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE FOR WS 205
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
805 PM CDT SUN APR 29 2012

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 205 IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 300 AM CDT
FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS

OKC003-011-035-037-039-041-043-045-047-053-071-073-081-083-093-
097-103-105-113-115-117-119-129-131-143-145-147-151-153-
300800-
/O.NEW.KWNS.SV.A.0205.120430T0105Z-120430T0800Z/

OK
.    OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

ALFALFA              BLAINE              CRAIG
CREEK                CUSTER              DELAWARE
DEWEY                ELLIS               GARFIELD
GRANT                KAY                 KINGFISHER
LINCOLN              LOGAN               MAJOR
MAYES                NOBLE               NOWATA
OSAGE                OTTAWA              PAWNEE
PAYNE                ROGERS              ROGER MILLS
TULSA                WAGONER             WASHINGTON
WOODS                WOODWARD
$$



ATTN...WFO...ICT...OUN...TSA...SGF...

The severe threat is across most of NE Oklahoma mainly after 5:00 and the flash flood threat is mainly north of I-44. Multiple rounds of thunderstorms are expected over the next few days but most of this activity will remain north of I-44.

Here is the Tulsa NWS risk graphic for this evening and tomorrow.

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HAS ISSUED SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH
202 IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM CDT SUNDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS

IN OKLAHOMA THIS WATCH INCLUDES 19 COUNTIES

IN EAST CENTRAL OKLAHOMA

CHEROKEE              MUSKOGEE              OKFUSKEE            
SEQUOYAH             

IN NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA

ADAIR                 CRAIG                 CREEK               
DELAWARE              MAYES                 NOWATA              
OKMULGEE              OSAGE                 OTTAWA              
PAWNEE                ROGERS                TULSA               
WAGONER               WASHINGTON           

IN SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA

MCINTOSH             

THIS INCLUDES THE CITIES OF...BARTLESVILLE...BRISTOW...
CLAREMORE...EUFAULA...JAY...MIAMI...MUSKOGEE...NOWATA...OKEMAH...
OKMULGEE...PAWHUSKA...PAWNEE...PRYOR...SALLISAW...STILWELL...
TAHLEQUAH...TULSA...VINITA AND WAGONER.

The threat for severe weather remains for most of NE Oklahoma this evening.

Large hail and damaging winds are possible after midnight as well as an isolated tornado threat for areas south of the Tulsa metro. There is also heavy rain threat mostly north of I-44.
 
Here is the Tulsa NWS risk map for this evening:

Large hail and damaging winds are the primary threats mainly along the I-44 corridor but there is also a heavy rain threat mainly north of I-44.

Here is the SPC risk map for tonight:

The greatest threat lies in South Central and SE Kansas but there is a possibility of a few storms forming across NE Oklahoma. If any storms do form the will have the capability of producing damaging winds, large hail, and even a tornado.

Here is the SPC risk graphic for this evening:



Updates to follow as needed.

There is a slight risk of severe weather over most of NE Oklahoma late this afternoon and evening, mainly between the hours of 4:00pm and midnight.

Damaging winds and large hail are the primary threats.

Here is the risk area as noted by the Storm Prediction Center:

In NE Oklahoma, Osage Pawnee, and Payne Counties until 6:00 AM Sunday,
Tornadoes, damaging thunderstorm winds, and hail are possible in these areas.

Damaging winds, hail, and heavy rain likey.

Here is the NWS risk graphic for tonight with timing,

It appears that the severe weather threat for this evening may not be realized and that a squall line will affect the area very early Sunday morning.

Updates to follow...

There is a high probability of a significant tornado outbreak today across much of Oklahoma, Kansas, and Nebraska.

If you evening plans away from home, especially outdoors, please stayed tune to your NOAA weather radio or AM740/FM102.3 KRMG for the latest on this possibly very dangerous outbreak.

If you here the sirens, PLEASE do not go outside. Have your shelter ready with a radio to listen to get into it as quickly as possible.


Discrete supercells capable of producing damaging wind gusts, hail to the size of tennis balls, and large, long track tornadoes are expected to form in central Oklahoma along the dryline and track east into eastern Oklahoma this evening.

The most likely time for tornadoes will be from 6PM - 10PM. It is possible that the storms will form a squall line as they enter eastern Oklahoma that could affect us through Sunday morning The squall line would lessen the tornado threat but not eliminate it and still produce a very large hail threat and damaging wind threat.

Here is the SPC tornado risk map for today:



Here is the Tulsa NWS eastern OK risk map for today:


Here are some severe weather safety tips that would be good to review for this evening: http://www.tulsagoldenhurricane.com/id7.html

Tornado Safety Rules

· In a home or building, move to a pre-designated shelter, such as a basement.

· If an underground shelter is not available, move to a small interior room or hallway on the lowest floor and get under a sturdy piece of furniture. Put as many walls as possible

· between you and the outside.

· Stay away from windows.

· Get out of automobiles.

· Do not try to outrun a tornado in your car; instead, leave immediately for safe shelter.

· If caught outside or in a vehicle, lie flat in a nearby ditch or depression and cover your head with your hands.

· Be aware of flying debris. Flying debris from tornadoes causes most fatalities and injuries.

· Mobile homes, even if tied down, offer little protection from tornadoes. You should leave a mobile home and go to the lowest floor of a sturdy nearby building or a storm shelter.


Updates to follow...

There is a high probability of a significant tornado outbreak today across much of Oklahoma, Kansas, and Nebraska.

If you evening plans away from home, especially outdoors, please stayed tune to your NOAA weather radio or AM740/FM102.3 KRMG for the latest on this possibly very dangerous outbreak.

If you here the sirens, PLEASE do not go outside. Have your shelter ready with a radio to listen to get into it as quickly as possible.


Discrete supercells capable of producing damaging wind gusts, hail to the size of tennis balls, and large, long track tornadoes are expected to form in central Oklahoma along the dryline and track east into eastern Oklahoma this evening.

The most likely time for tornadoes will be from 6PM - 10PM. It is possible that the storms will form a squall line as they enter eastern Oklahoma that could affect us through Sunday morning The squall line would lessen the tornado threat but not eliminate it and still produce a very large hail threat and damaging wind threat.

Here is the SPC risk map for today:



Here is the Tulsa NWS eastern OK risk map for today:


Here are some severe weather safety tips that would be good to review for this evening: http://www.tulsagoldenhurricane.com/id7.html

Tornado Safety Rules

· In a home or building, move to a pre-designated shelter, such as a basement.

· If an underground shelter is not available, move to a small interior room or hallway on the lowest floor and get under a sturdy piece of furniture. Put as many walls as possible

· between you and the outside.

· Stay away from windows.

· Get out of automobiles.

· Do not try to outrun a tornado in your car; instead, leave immediately for safe shelter.

· If caught outside or in a vehicle, lie flat in a nearby ditch or depression and cover your head with your hands.

· Be aware of flying debris. Flying debris from tornadoes causes most fatalities and injuries.

· Mobile homes, even if tied down, offer little protection from tornadoes. You should leave a mobile home and go to the lowest floor of a sturdy nearby building or a storm shelter.


Updates to follow...

Stayed tuned to local media for further reports for tonights storms.

Updates forthcoming for Saturday...

Watch Area:

Just a quick update as storms have begun firing to the west that may impact NE OK in the next couple of hours then another round that is developing in SW Oklahoma that could impact NE OK this evening.

The is a risk of severe weather across most of NE Oklahoma this evening with damaging winds, large hail, and tornadoes. NW of I-44 there is an enhanced risk of large hail and tornadoes.

Storms are expected to form off the dryline in western Oklahoma this afternoon and track east towards NE Oklahoma. As the evening progresses, severe parameters will become more supportive of large hail and tornadoes. A tornado watch will likely be issued late this afternoon for at least parts of eastern Oklahoma with the storms possibly entering the area by 7 or 8.

A tornado watch has been issued for Osage and Pawnee counties in NE Oklahoma until 9:00 PM.
Here is the Tornado Watch area:



There also remains a high risk of severe weather mainly in north central Oklahoma but also a moderate to high risk west of highway 69 in eastern Oklahoma. Damaging wind gusts, hail to the size of baseballs, and large, long-lived tornadoes are the threats.

The eastward extent of the high risk area will largely be determined by when the individual supercells congiel into a squall line. Once they merge into a squall line the hail and wind threat will remain, as will the tornado threat, but the tornado threat is likely to be significantly less but heavy rain will be a new threat.

Here is the latest SPC risk map for Saturday:




Here is the Tulsa NWS risk map for Saturday night:

There is a slight risk of severe weather tonight with heavy rain, large hail, damaging winds, and tornadoes with the greatest chance of very large hail and tornadoes currently looking to be across areas north of I-44 and west of highway 75 but possible anywhere in NE Oklahoma.

Here is the latest SPC risk map indicating the areas of risk. I would not be surprised to see a portion of the slight risk area upgraded to a moderate risk later today.





The is a much greater risk of severe weather saturday night, especially across north central Oklahoma but also extending as far east as highway 69.

Life threatening risks in damaging wind gusts to 100+ MPH, hail to the size of baseballs, and large, long track tornadoes all appear possible in the moderate and high risk areas on Saturday night.

The threat could transition into a heavy rain, large hail, damaging winds, and isolated tornado event by the time the storms reach eastern Oklahoma if they join together and form a solid line of storms. If the storms remain discrete, or seperate, as they enter eastern Oklahoma then the threats will be life threatening with those storms.

Please pay extra attention to the local media and make sure your NOAA Weather Radio is functioning properly to alert you as it appears the severe storms will be impacting eastern Oklahoma after dark and likely even into the overnight hours.


Here is the latest SPC risk map for Saturday:





Here are some severe weather safety tips that would be good to review in preperation for these multiple rounds of severe weather: http://www.tulsagoldenhurricane.com/id7.html

Tornado Safety Rules

· In a home or building, move to a pre-designated shelter, such as a basement.

· If an underground shelter is not available, move to a small interior room or hallway on the lowest floor and get under a sturdy piece of furniture. Put as many walls as possible

· between you and the outside.

· Stay away from windows.

· Get out of automobiles.

· Do not try to outrun a tornado in your car; instead, leave immediately for safe shelter.

· If caught outside or in a vehicle, lie flat in a nearby ditch or depression and cover your head with your hands.

· Be aware of flying debris. Flying debris from tornadoes causes most fatalities and injuries.

· Mobile homes, even if tied down, offer little protection from tornadoes. You should leave a mobile home and go to the lowest floor of a sturdy nearby building or a storm shelter.


Updates to follow...

The is a slight risk of severe weather in parts of NE Oklahoma on Friday. Large hail, damaging winds, and tornadoes are possible in the risk area.

Here is the SPC risk map for Friday:



It still appears the greatest risk of severe weather will be late Saturday afternoon through late Saturday night.

Here is the Tulsa NWS risk graphic for this period:



Updates to follow as the the timing and locations are better refined.

Here are some severe weather safety tips that would be good to review in preperation for Saturday: http://www.tulsagoldenhurricane.com/id7.html

Tornado Safety Rules

· In a home or building, move to a pre-designated shelter, such as a basement.

· If an underground shelter is not available, move to a small interior room or hallway on the lowest floor and get under a sturdy piece of furniture. Put as many walls as possible

· between you and the outside.

· Stay away from windows.

· Get out of automobiles.

· Do not try to outrun a tornado in your car; instead, leave immediately for safe shelter.

· If caught outside or in a vehicle, lie flat in a nearby ditch or depression and cover your head with your hands.

· Be aware of flying debris. Flying debris from tornadoes causes most fatalities and injuries.

· Mobile homes, even if tied down, offer little protection from tornadoes. You should leave a mobile home and go to the lowest floor of a sturdy nearby building or a storm shelter.

There is a slight risk of severe weather across parts of Eastern Oklahoma from late afternoon Friday into the nighttime hours. Large hail, damaging winds, and tornadoes will be possible during this time.

Here is the SPC risk map for Friday:



A more significant chance of severe weather will be on Saturday into Saturday night possibly extending into the overnight hours.

Saturday could bring a significant and dangerous severe weather outbreak across parts of eastern Oklahoma with very large hail, damaging winds, and large, long track tornadoes expected at this time.

Here is the SPC risk map for Saturday:



Updates to follow as the the timing and locations are better refined.

Here are some severe weather safety tips that would bo good to review in preperation for Saturday: http://www.tulsagoldenhurricane.com/id7.html 

Tornado Safety Rules

· In a home or building, move to a pre-designated shelter, such as a basement.

· If an underground shelter is not available, move to a small interior room or hallway on the lowest floor and get under a sturdy piece of furniture. Put as many walls as possible

· between you and the outside.

· Stay away from windows.

· Get out of automobiles.

· Do not try to outrun a tornado in your car; instead, leave immediately for safe shelter.

· If caught outside or in a   vehicle, lie flat in a nearby ditch or depression and cover your head with your hands.

· Be aware of flying debris. Flying debris from tornadoes causes most fatalities and injuries.

· Mobile homes, even if tied down, offer little protection from tornadoes. You should leave a mobile home and go to the lowest floor of a sturdy nearby building or a storm shelter.

Strong to occassionally severe storms are still expected this evening across NE Oklahoma but it appears the main severe weather threat will remain south of Tulsa, mainly south of I-40.

Here is the latest SPC risk graphic:

There is a slight risk of severe weather late this afternoon and evening with heavy rain, damaging winds, and large hail being the primary threat. It is possible that a tornado or two could form.

Here is the SPC risk map for this afternoon and evening:


Updates to follow if needed.

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch has been issued for the following counties until 11:00PM:

ATOKA                BRYAN               CARTER
COAL                 HASKELL             HUGHES
JOHNSTON             LATIMER             LE FLORE
LOVE                 MARSHALL            MCINTOSH
MURRAY               MUSKOGEE            OKFUSKEE
OKMULGEE             PITTSBURG           PONTOTOC
SEMINOLE             SEQUOYAH

Heavy rain, damaging winds, and large hail are possible with any storms that form.