Most of NE Oklahoma is now not only under a severe thunderstorm watch but also now under a moderate risk of severe weather with the primary threat being a damaging wind event with winds to 80MPH or possibly higher across parts of northern and NE Oklahoma.

Stayed tuned to the local media as the storms approach late tonight and have your NOAA weather radio set to alert you if severe weather approaches.

Here is the SPC risk map for tonight.




Damaging wind risk map:

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 326 IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 400 AM CDT
FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS


OK
.    OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

ADAIR                CHEROKEE            CRAIG
CREEK                DELAWARE            HASKELL
LATIMER              LE FLORE            MAYES
MCINTOSH             MUSKOGEE            NOWATA
OKFUSKEE             OKMULGEE            OSAGE
OTTAWA               PAWNEE              PITTSBURG
ROGERS               SEQUOYAH            TULSA
WAGONER              WASHINGTON
$$

The moderate risk area has been expandaded to the north and east but remains west of the Tulsa area. Still, strong to severe storms are expected across most of eastern Oklahoma this evening and into the overnight hours.

Hail to the size of tennis balls and wind gusts to 65MPH are possible as well as a slight threat for an isolated tornado.

Heavy rain could also occur with amounts of 1-2 inches possible.

Here is the latest SPC risk map.

There is a slight to moderate risk of severe weather today with the threat increased to the west.

The models currently indicate that the bulk of the severe weather and heavy rain will remain just to the west of Tulsa but do indicate most of NE and Eastern OK will see some rain and storms.

Damaging winds, large hail, and an isolated tornado are all possible tonight depending on where the storms form and how they interact with the remants of previous storms from the last 12 hours.

Here is the SPC risk map for today:

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HAS ISSUED SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH
319 IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM CDT WEDNESDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS

IN OKLAHOMA THIS WATCH INCLUDES 14 COUNTIES

IN EAST CENTRAL OKLAHOMA

MUSKOGEE              OKFUSKEE             

IN NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA

CREEK                 OKMULGEE              OSAGE               
PAWNEE                ROGERS                TULSA               
WAGONER               WASHINGTON           

IN SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA

HASKELL               LATIMER               MCINTOSH            
PITTSBURG            

THIS INCLUDES THE CITIES OF...BARTLESVILLE...BRISTOW...
CLAREMORE...EUFAULA...MCALESTER...MUSKOGEE...OKEMAH...OKMULGEE...
PAWHUSKA...PAWNEE...STIGLER...TULSA...WAGONER AND WILBURTON.





Current Local Radar at 7:35.

There is a slight risk of severe weather this after and evening across all of NE Oklahoma.
There is a threat for isolated storms to form arfter 1:00 and they weill become more numberous at 6:00.

Winds to 70MPH, mail to the size of baseballs, and an isolated tornado appear to be the threats at this time.

Here is the latest risk map:



There is a grester risk of severe weather on Wednesday with the potential for a significant severe weather outbreak to occur, especially to the of the Tulsa area.

Details and updates to follow...

There is a slight risk of severe weather on Tuesday night. Large hail and damaging winds are the primary threats. There will be a risk Wednesday and Thursday as well.


Here is the risk area for Tuesday:

50% chance of thunderstorms in NE Oklahoma tomorrow but no severe weather expected.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE FOR WS 284
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
905 PM CDT SAT MAY 19 2012

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 284 IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 400 AM CDT
FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS

OKC003-009-011-015-017-031-033-039-043-047-051-053-055-057-065-
071-073-075-083-093-103-113-117-119-137-141-149-200900-
/O.NEW.KWNS.SV.A.0284.120520T0205Z-120520T0900Z/

OK
.    OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

ALFALFA              BECKHAM             BLAINE
CADDO                CANADIAN            COMANCHE
COTTON               CUSTER              DEWEY
GARFIELD             GRADY               GRANT
GREER                HARMON              JACKSON
KAY                  KINGFISHER          KIOWA
LOGAN                MAJOR               NOBLE
OSAGE                PAWNEE              PAYNE
STEPHENS             TILLMAN             WASHITA

There is a threat of severe weather this afternoon across all of NE Oklahome with hail to the size of baseballs and damaging winds being the primary threat.

Tulsa NWS risk map for today: